OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS

Probability: A Very Short Introduction

ISBN : 9780199588480

Price(incl.tax): 
¥1,793
Author: 
John Haigh
Pages
144 Pages
Format
Paperback
Size
113 x 174 mm
Pub date
Apr 2012
Series
Very Short Introductions

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  • Explores ideas of probability and the different philosophical approaches to it
  • Provides a brief account of the history of development of probability theory
  • Considers the work of some of the big players; from Galileo and Pascal to Bayes, Laplace, Poisson, and Markov
  • Discusses a wide range of applications of probability theory in science, economics, and a variety of other contexts

  
Making good decisions under conditions of uncertainty - which is the norm - requires a sound appreciation of the way random chance works. As analysis and modelling of most aspects of the world, and all measurement, are necessarily imprecise and involve uncertainties of varying degrees, the understanding and management of probabilities is central to much work in the sciences and economics. 
  
In this Very Short Introduction, John Haigh introduces the ideas of probability and different philosophical approaches to probability, and gives a brief account of the history of development of probability theory, from Galileo and Pascal to Bayes, Laplace, Poisson, and Markov. He describes the basic probability distributions, and goes on to discuss a wide range of applications in science, economics, and a variety of other contexts such as games and betting. He concludes with an intriguing discussion of coincidences and some curious paradoxes. 

Index: 

1: Fundamentals
2: The workings of probability
3: Historical sketch
4: Chance experiments
5: Making sense of probabilities
6: Games people play
7: Applications in science and operations research
8: Other applications
9: Curiosities and dilemmas
Appendix - Answers to questions posed

About the author: 

John Haigh, Reader in Statistics, University of Sussex

John Haigh is a mathematics tutor at the University of Sussex and has written many papers on probability. He is the author of three books, including Taking Chances (OUP, 2003).

"An excellent and provocative introduction to a fascinating and underappreciated subject." - Mathematical Gazette

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