OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS

Let's Go Special Pack
 

Counterfactuals and Probability

ISBN : 9780198785958

参考価格(税込): 
¥8,217
著者: 
Moritz Schulz
ページ
256 ページ
フォーマット
Hardcover
サイズ
135 x 216 mm
刊行日
2017年02月
メール送信
印刷

Moritz Schulz explores counterfactual thought and language: what would have happened if things had gone a different way. Counterfactual questions may concern large scale derivations (what would have happened if Nixon had launched a nuclear attack) or small scale evaluations of minor derivations (what would have happened if I had decided to join a different profession). A common impression, which receives a thorough defence in the book, is that oftentimes we find it impossible to know what would have happened. However, this does not mean that we are completely at a loss: we are typically capable of evaluating counterfactual questions probabilistically: we can say what would have been likely or unlikely to happen. Schulz describes these probabilistic ways of evaluating counterfactual questions and turns the data into a novel account of the workings of counterfactual thought.

目次: 

1 Introduction
2 The Problem of Evaluating Counterfactuals
3 Counterfactual Chances
4 A Puzzle About Counterfactuals
5 Restriction and Modification
6 Counterfactuals and Arbitrariness
7 Applications
8 Triviality
9 Concluding Remarks

著者について: 

Moritz Schulz studied Mathematics and Philosophy at the University of Hamburg before completing a BPhil at Oxford University. Shultz received his PhD from the Humboldt University of Berlin in 2011. Since then, he completed a post-doc at the University of Barcelona and acted as an assistant at the University of Tubingen before taking up his current role as junior professor at the University of Hamburg.

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